Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.074716 0.088859 0.104742 0.123868 0.146247 0.171571 0.202371
2025-02-16 0.052819 0.070901 0.093561 0.123917 0.163370 0.212753 0.279076
2025-02-23 0.041704 0.061616 0.088822 0.128411 0.184195 0.259576 0.368658
2025-03-02 0.032062 0.051443 0.079949 0.124443 0.191530 0.288139 0.436802
2025-03-09 0.026258 0.045273 0.075089 0.124523 0.203497 0.323521 0.518021
2025-03-16 0.021552 0.039690 0.069837 0.122625 0.211452 0.353101 0.593422
2025-03-23 0.018773 0.036686 0.068054 0.125717 0.227311 0.396315 0.694797
2025-03-30 0.015920 0.032935 0.064256 0.124559 0.235521 0.427595 0.779815
2025-04-06 0.013381 0.029242 0.059873 0.121505 0.239682 0.452061 0.855512
2025-04-13 0.011193 0.025797 0.055333 0.117331 0.240980 0.471253 0.923557
2025-04-20 0.010026 0.024247 0.054234 0.119619 0.254687 0.514328 1.039644
2025-04-27 0.008911 0.022588 0.052620 0.120558 0.265732 0.553417 1.152185
2025-05-04 0.007856 0.020890 0.050712 0.120730 0.275536 0.591795 1.268911
2025-05-11 0.007048 0.019629 0.049574 0.122434 0.288841 0.638781 1.408331
2025-05-18 0.006537 0.019011 0.049816 0.127282 0.309594 0.703318 1.590663
2025-05-25 0.005602 0.017077 0.046571 0.123439 0.310282 0.725485 1.686137
2025-06-01 0.004999 0.015923 0.045060 0.123540 0.320046 0.768283 1.830510
2025-06-08 0.004388 0.014608 0.042900 0.121661 0.324794 0.800335 1.954345
2025-06-15 0.004056 0.014054 0.042672 0.124731 0.342034 0.862641 2.152909
2025-06-22 0.003605 0.013027 0.040963 0.123582 0.348477 0.900367 2.298370
2025-06-29 0.003149 0.011878 0.038701 0.120550 0.349623 0.925501 2.416563
2025-07-06 0.002721 0.010718 0.036191 0.116408 0.347237 0.941673 2.514683
2025-07-13 0.002520 0.010306 0.035894 0.118678 0.362644 1.003975 2.732913